| |
Sea ice is an important factor in global climate for numerous reasons:
- It insulates the ocean from the cold atmosphere. The amount of sea
ice cover influences heat and water to atmosphere and may affect local
clouds and precip.
- It has high albedo. This affects the amount of sunlight absorbed
by the earth system.
- The number of positive feedbacks associated with sea ice cause an
amplification of climate change in the Arctic. Most important is the
albedo feedback (warming causes less ice, less sunlight reflected back
to space, enhanced warming).
- It is important for human activities and biological habitats
- shipping, oil exploration
- arctic mammals (seals, polar bears) hunt, breed, and feed on the
ice
- Satellite observations show that Arctic sea ice concentrations have
significantly decreased over the last 25 years. (rate of ~6%/decade
for summer ice; 2002 had lowest summer ice cover on record)
- Submarine observations also suggest that the Arctic ice pack has thinned
dramatically (by about 1/3) in the last 20-30 years
- It is unclear whether natural variability or climate change or a combination
of the two are responsible for ice pack changes. Observational records
are relatively short (20-30 yrs).
- Climate simulations with increasing greenhouse gases show decreasing
sea ice consistent with observations.
- These models can give indications of how sea ice will change under
different emission scenarios.
- They can provide additional insight into what the consequences of
sea ice changes will be for weather and climate, how this may affect
biological habitats, etc.
|